US power generators' natural gas use to rise 1.3% per year through
2040: EIA
Washington (Platts)--15Aug2014/301 pm EDT/1901 GMT
The power generation sector's annual use of natural gas in the
contiguous United States will increase to 1,600 million MWh by 2040, an
average annual increase of 1.3%, the US Energy Information
Administration said Friday.
Total US gas production is expected to increase 56% to 37.54 Tcf/year
over that same period from 24.06 Tcf/year in 2012, largely because of
the development of shale gas, tight gas, and offshore natural gas
resources, the EIA said.
The three regions with the highest growth in the use of gas for
electricity generation are set to be SERC Reliability Corp, Reliability
First Corp. and Western Electricity Coordinating Council, EIA said. The
three regions also have the highest overall amounts of coal-fired
generation.
SERC covers many of the states in the Southeast, Mid-Atlantic, and
Midwest. The RFC covers 13 Midwest and Eastern states and the District
of Columbia. The WECC region encompasses the Rocky Mountains, Pacific
Northwest and southwestern United States.
In both SERC and RFC, gas-fired generation is expected to fall in
2014 in response to higher gas prices, and will then regain market share
in 2015 and 2016 as a result of coal-fired plant retirements.
An increase in gas prices will see gas-fired generation in SERC decline
through 2019, with coal-fired generation increasing, while gas-fired
generation will increase in RFC, EIA said.
Gas-fired generation in SERC and RFC is expected to rise in response to
higher production in both regions after 2020, surpassing nuclear
generation by 2035, the agency added.
Gas-fired generators' annual output in WECC is set to rise by nearly 105
million MWh to 311.6 million MWh by 2040, the second-largest increase in
the US, it said.
--Rodney White,
rodney.white@platts.com
--Edited by Keiron Greenhalgh,
keiron.greenhalgh@platts.com
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