Atlantic Coast ULSD rises to record premium over US Gulf Coast
Houston (Platts)--27Jan2014/614 pm EST/2314 GMT
The Atlantic Coast ULSD differential Monday rose to a record premium
over the US Gulf Coast on tight supply and winter demand for ultra low
sulfur heating oil.
The 47.52 cents/gal premium over US Gulf Coast increased 6.76 cents/gal
from Friday's previous record premium.
Platts assessed the Atlantic Coast ULSD differential for barges up 7
cents/gal at NYMEX February ULSD futures plus 27 cents/gal while Buckeye
Pipeline was plus 28 cents/gal, both records since being assessed
against the NYMEX ULSD futures contract starting in April for the May
contract.
Platts assessed Gulf Coast ULSD at NYMEX March ULSD futures minus
7.10 cents/gal, up 1.15 cents/gal.
"Nobody has any to offer," one trader said.
Different regions switch basis month at different times based on
pipeline schedules.
US Atlantic Coast ULSD and ultra low sulfur heating oil production fell
5,000 b/d to 190,000 b/d for the week ended January 17, according to US
Energy Information Administration data released Thursday, the lowest
level since the week following Hurricane Sandy in 2012.
This is the lowest production has been since the week ended November 2,
2012, when it was 165,000 b/d.
US Atlantic Coast stocks fell 2.109 million barrels to 22.108 million
barrels.
Refinery utilization on the US Atlantic Coast fell to 70.1% from 75.5%
for the week ended January 17.
Abundant supply from the US Gulf Coast is not able to make its way to
the Atlantic Coast as the Houston-to-Greensboro 1.16 million b/d
Colonial Pipeline Line 2 and Greensboro, North Carolina-to-New Jersey
885,000 b/d million Line 3 are full and the Jones Act discourages
barging the product.
The Jones Act requires that all goods transported by water between US
ports be carried on US-flagged vessels constructed in the US and owned
and crewed by US citizens.
Additionally, with it being winter, demand for ULSHO is high in New York
Harbor, which increases the ULSD differential because ULSD and ULSHO are
the same product aside from use.
That creates the wide spread between the two regions as production in
the US Atlantic Coast declined.
"I'm stunned by it," a second trader said of the rising premium. "This
is ridiculous."
One trader said two cargoes of ULSD are coming in the first week of
February and another is coming in February 8 to help relieve the tight
supply situation.
"It is really going to plummet when those arrive," the trader said of
the differential.
The arbitrage from the US Gulf Coast to New York Harbor, considered open
when the Gulf Coast is 4.50 cents/gal higher than the Atlantic Coast,
has been open for 81 straight trading days.
--David Henry,
david.henry@Platts.com
--Edited by Richard Rubin,
richard.rubin@platts.com
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