Pool photo by Brendan Smialowski
Secretary of State John
Kerry, center, arrived outside Tel Aviv on Thursday. His work on the
Middle East has drawn more attention than his environmental efforts.
WASHINGTON — As a young naval officer in
Vietnam, John Kerry commanded a Swift boat up the dangerous rivers
of the Mekong Delta. But when he returned there last month as
secretary of state for the first time since 1969, he spoke not of
past firefights but of climate change.
“Decades ago, on these very waters, I was
one of many who witnessed the difficult period in our shared
history,” Mr. Kerry told students gathered on the banks of the Cai
Nuoc River. He drew a connection from the Mekong Delta’s troubled
past to its imperiled future. “This is one of the two or three most
potentially impacted areas in the world with respect to the effects
of climate change,” he said.
In his first year as secretary of state,
Mr. Kerry joined with the Russians to push Syria to turn over its
chemical weapons, persuaded the Israelis and Palestinians to resume
direct peace talks, and played the closing role in the interim
nuclear agreement with Iran. But while the public’s attention has
been on his diplomacy in the Middle East, behind the scenes at the
State Department Mr. Kerry has initiated a systematic, top-down push
to create an agencywide focus on global warming.
His goal is to become the lead broker of a
global climate treaty in 2015 that will commit the United States and
other nations to historic reductions in fossil fuel pollution.
Whether the secretary of state can have
that kind of influence remains an open question, and Mr. Kerry,
despite two decades of attention to climate policy, has few concrete
accomplishments on the issue. The climate bills he sponsored as a
senator failed. At the United Nations
climate summit meeting in Copenhagen in 2009, Mr. Kerry, then a
senator from Massachusetts, labored behind the scenes to help
President Obama broker a treaty that yielded pledges from countries
to cut their emissions but failed to produce legally binding
commitments.
“He’s had a lot of passion, but I don’t
think you can conclude he’s had any success,” said Senator John
McCain, Republican of Arizona, who has worked on climate legislation
with Mr. Kerry in the past.
Yet climate experts point to one
significant, recent accomplishment. As a result of midlevel talks
Mr. Kerry set up to pave the way for a 2015 deal, the United States
and China agreed in September to jointly phase down production of
hydrofluorocarbons, greenhouse gases used in refrigerators and
air-conditioners.
“He’s pushing to get climate to be the
thing that drives the U.S. relationship with China,” said Timothy E.
Wirth, a former Democratic senator from Colorado who now works on
climate change issues with the United Nations Foundation.
For decades, the world has been skeptical
of American efforts to push a climate change treaty, given the lack
of action in Congress. But Mr. Obama has given Mr. Kerry’s efforts
some help. In September, the Environmental Protection Agency began
issuing regulations forcing cuts in carbon pollution from coal-fired
power plants, the largest source of greenhouse gas emissions in the
United States.
The rules, which can be enacted without
Congress, have effectively frozen construction of new coal-fired
plants and could eventually shutter existing ones. Republicans
criticize the rules as a “war on coal,” but abroad they are viewed
as a sign that the United States is now serious about acting on
global warming.
“It has not gone unnoticed that this
administration is now much more engaged on climate change,” said
Jake Schmidt, the international climate policy director for the
Natural Resources Defense Council. “Every international negotiator
understands it.” When Mr. Kerry took office, Mr. Schmidt said, “the
dynamic changed quite a bit.”
Shortly after Mr. Kerry was sworn in last
February, he issued a directive that all meetings between senior
American diplomats and top foreign officials include a discussion of
climate change. He put top climate policy specialists on his State
Department personal staff. And he is pursuing smaller climate deals
in forums like the Group of 20, the countries that make up the
world’s largest economies.
“He’s approaching this creatively,” said
Heather Zichal,
who recently stepped down as Mr. Obama’s top climate adviser and
worked for Mr. Kerry from 2002 to 2008. “He’s thinking strategically
about using other forums.”
But Mr. Kerry’s ambitious agenda faces
enormous obstacles.
Not only must he handle difficult
negotiations with China — the world’s largest emitter of
greenhouse gases — for the 2015 treaty, but the pact must be
ratified by a Senate that has a long record of rejecting climate
change legislation. “In all candor, I don’t care where he is,
nothing is going to happen in the Senate for a long time,” Mr.
McCain said.
The effort is complicated by the fight
over the Keystone XL pipeline, which, if approved by the State
Department and Mr. Obama, would bring carbon-heavy tar sands oil
from the Canadian province of Alberta to refineries on the Gulf
Coast — and infuriate environmentalists. Approval of the
pipeline could blacken Mr. Kerry’s green credentials and hurt
his ability to get a broader climate deal.
Mr. Kerry is nonetheless forging
ahead. “One of the reasons the president was attracted to Kerry
was that we were going to make climate change a legacy issue in
the second term,” said Benjamin J. Rhodes, the White House
deputy national security adviser.
Former Vice President Al Gore,
who won a Nobel Prize for his efforts to fight climate
change, praised Mr. Kerry’s longtime focus on global warming.
“He has continued to prioritize the issue even in the face of
strong political resistance,” Mr. Gore wrote in an email. Mr.
Kerry, he said, “has the rare opportunity to advance
international negotiations at a critical time.”
In the 1980s and 1990s, Mr. Kerry
worked closely with Mr. Gore, then a senator from Tennessee, on
climate change policy on Capitol Hill. In 1992, Mr. Kerry
attended the first United Nations climate change summit meeting,
in Rio de Janeiro, where he kindled a connection with Teresa
Heinz, who attended with a delegation representing the elder
President George Bush.
Married three years later, the couple
went on to write a 2007 book together, “This Moment on Earth:
Today’s New Environmentalists and Their Vision for the Future.”
By that time Mr. Kerry had run for president and lost, and then
was one of the founders of a think tank, the American Security
Project, that defined climate change as a national security
threat.
After Mr. Obama was elected president
in 2008, Mr. Kerry and his wife began holding salons in their
Georgetown home focused on climate policy, with guests like John
P. Holdren, the new president’s science adviser. By 2009, Mr.
Kerry had joined Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South
Carolina, and Senator Joseph I. Lieberman, independent of
Connecticut, to push an ambitious climate change bill.
At the Copenhagen climate summit
meeting in December 2009, Mr. Obama promised the world that the
Senate would soon pass that bill — but a few months later, Mr.
Kerry’s legislation fell apart. Since then prospects for global
warming legislation on Capitol Hill have been poor.
Now, Mr. Kerry hopes to use his
position as secretary of state to achieve a legacy on global
warming that has long eluded him.
“There’s a lot of scar tissue from the
U.S. saying it will do stuff” on climate change and not
following through, said Mr. Schmidt of the Natural Resources
Defense Council. But he said Mr. Kerry’s push abroad and Mr.
Obama’s actions at home were changing expectations among other
nations.
“They’re still waiting to see what
we’re going to do,” Mr. Schmidt said, “but the skepticism is
much thinner than it was a few months back.”
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