The dollar has risen to multi-year highs against a range of
currencies in recent weeks, including a 12-year peak against the
euro Monday.
The skirmishes carry danger for the global financial system,
writes
Telegraph columnist Liam Halligan.
"The world's leading economies have reduced themselves to
blatantly competing less on the quality of what they produce
than on the speed with which they can depreciate their
currencies against one another," he says. "The lessons of
history are that such situations are prone to escalate into
rancor and, ultimately, conflict."
Halligan spells out some dire ramifications.
"The longer profligate eurozone governments are able to ramp up
borrowing, the more likely monetary union is dramatically to
implode. And the further share prices are pumped up by QE
[quantitative easing] and other monetary mutations, the more
vulnerable global stock markets are to crash."
The dollar's strength isn't exactly doing wonders for the U.S.
economy and American companies.
"We are in a midst of an ugly contest to see whether the
eurozone, Japan or Canada can depreciate the most against the
U.S. dollar, and China is probably next," Campbell Harvey, a
finance professor at Duke University and a past guest on Newsmax
TV, said in response to the latest
Duke University/CFO
Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey
"U.S. exporters are being punished by these competitive
depreciations, and this will lead to lower profits and less
employment."
A rising dollar hurts U.S. companies by making their exports
more expensive in foreign currency terms and reducing the value
of their foreign revenue when translated into dollars.
Many companies have recently cited the dollar's ascent as a
depressant on earnings. "Foreign exchange is now a substantial
headwind for us," John Kritzmacher, CFO of book publisher John
Wiley & Sons, said in an earnings call last week,
The Wall Street Journal reports.
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