Far-right party surges in German elections after
anti-immigrant campaign
A new far-right German party that campaigned
aggressively against the refugees who have poured into the
country in the last year scored stunning victories in three
state elections on Sunday as voters rejected Chancellor
Angela Merkel’s open-door policies and abandoned her
conservative party in droves.
The populist Alternative for Germany (AfD), which
turned the elections in three of Germany’s 16 federal states
into a referendum on Merkel’s refugee policies, won 24% of the
vote in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt, 12.5% in the
southwestern state of Baden-Wuerttemberg and 11.7% in
Rhineland-Palatinate.
Those preliminary results, based on exit polls for German TV network
ARD, far succeeded pre-election forecasts. Voters were clearly riled up
about the issue as turnout surged to levels above 70%, about 10
percentage points higher than in the previous elections.
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In the campaign, the AfD kept up a steady drumbeat of criticism
against Germany's decision to take in 1.3 million refugees from Syria,
Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere.
“We don’t want to take in any refugees and we’ll keep pushing the
other parties to follow us,” said Alexander Gauland, a leader of the
AfD, whose campaign tactics have been compared to those of
Donald Trump in the Republican primaries in the United States.
As with Trump, the AfD was especially popular with people who feel
threatened economically, especially men with low incomes and low levels
of education. Much of its success came at the expense of Merkel's
conservative Christian Democratic Union and its allies.
“The CDU was beaten in these three states because the people don’t
like Merkel and her policies,” Gauland said in a German TV interview.
The AfD was established in 2013 to oppose financial bailouts for
Greece, and later morphed into an anti-refugee party. Never before had a
party in Germany won as much support in its first election as in
Saxony-Anhalt, an economically depressed state with a 10% unemployment
rate. At a raucous AfD celebration in the Saxony-Anhalt capital of
Magdeburg, party supporters chanted “Merkel muss weg” ("Merkel has to
go").
The defeats to her party allies in the three states could lead to
increased pressure from other conservative leaders on Merkel to close
the country’s door to refugees, which she has refused to do, even as
other
European Union countries have.
The AfD’s strength will not have any immediate effect on Merkel’s
government because the refugee issue is managed by her federal
government, not by the states. These were, however, the first elections
in Germany since Merkel threw open the door to refugees last summer and
the most important bellwether before next year’s federal election.
The AfD will remain an opposition party in all three states because
the other parties have all vowed not to share power with the far-right
party. Despite losing votes in all three states, Merkel’s party will
likely remain in power in Saxony-Anhalt. It saw its hopes of winning
back power in the other two states destroyed by the AfD, however.
Analysts said the AfD attracted large numbers of voters from Merkel’s
conservatives but also scored well among those who had not voted in
previous elections.
“The AfD’s strength comes almost entirely from their anti-refugee
position,” said Manfred Guellner, managing director of the Forsa polling
institute, in an interview. “The issue is the magnet for the AfD and
it’s attracted all the voters with latent right-wing extremist views.
But when the refugee question passes, that support will likely
collapse.”
The AfD succeeded in mobilizing more than 150,000 new voters in the
three states by railing against foreigners, calling for border
reinforcements to prevent refugees and migrants from sneaking into the
country, and breaking taboos with statements that were regarded as
politically incorrect.
“The refugee issue is what people care about most,” said AfD leader
Frauke Petry. “We’re not trying to whip up fears. We’re just talking
about the problem the way it is. We’ve got a problem in Germany and
that’s why we did so well and voter turnout was so high.”
Trump caused a stir with his pledge to build a wall on the Mexican
border, while Petry drew notoriety for the AfD by calling for more
border guards to prevent refugees from illegally entering the country
and for urging them to use their guns as a deterrent if necessary –
remarks which drew widespread condemnation in a country that was long
divided by walls and East German border guard shootings during the Cold
War.
Kirschbaum is a special correspondent
http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-germany-elections-20160313-story.html
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