Shown below
is the
Reynolds sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific
from Indonesia on the left to central America on the right (20N
- 20S, 100E - 60W).
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La Niņa (cold) Conditions
(December 1998) |
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Normal Conditions
December 1993 |
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El Niņo (warm) Conditions
December 1997 |
Normal
Equatorial Pacific Ocean surface temperatures (December 1993)
are shown in the middle panel, including cool water, called the
'cold tongue', in the Eastern Pacific (in blue, on the right of
the plot) and warm water in the Western Pacific (in red, on the
left). Strong La Niņa conditions during December 1998 are shown
in the top panel. The Eastern Pacific is cooler than usual, and
the cool water extends farther westward than is usual (see the
blue color extending further to the left). Strong El Niņo
conditions, in December 1997, are shown on the bottom panel,
with warm water (red) extending all along the equator. El Niņo
and La Niņa are opposite phases of the El Niņo-Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, with La Niņa sometimes referred to as
the cold phase of ENSO and El Niņo as the warm phase of ENSO.
Recent La Niņa and El Niņo
events
Different La Niņa and El Niņo events
vary in strength
In the
left hand panel, you see the sea surface temperature at the
Equator in the Pacific Ocean (Indonesia is towards the left,
South America is towards the right). Time is increasing
downwards from 1986 at the top of the plot, to the present, at
the bottom of the plot. The first thing to note is the blue
"scallops" on the right of the plot, in the eastern Pacific.
These indicate the cool water typically observed in the Eastern
Pacific (called the "cold tongue"). Cold tongue temperatures
vary seasonally, being warmest in the northern hemisphere
springtime and coolest in the northern hemisphere fall. The red
color on the left is the warm pool of water typically observed
in the western Pacific Ocean. El Niņo is an exaggeration of the
usual seasonal cycle.
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Mean and anomalies of sea
surface temperature from 1986 to present, showing El
Niņo events 1986-1987, 1991-1992, 1993, 1994 and 1997
and La Niņa events in 1985 and 1995. |
During
the El Niņo in 1986-1987, you can see the warm water (red)
penetrating eastward in the Spring of 1987. There is another El
Niņo in 1991-1992, and you can see the warm water penetrating
towards the east in the northern hemisphere spring of 1992. The
1997-1998 El Niņo (at the bottom) is unusually strong.
El Niņo and La Niņa years are easier to see in the anomalies on
the right hand panel. The anomalies show how much the sea
surface temperature is different from the usual value for each
month. Water temperatures significantly warmer than the norm are
shown in red, and water temperatures cooler than the norm are
shown in blue. In the right-hand plot of sea surface temperature
anomalies, it is very easy to see El Niņos, with water warmer
than usual (red) in the eastern Pacific, during in 1986-1987,
1991-1992, 1993, 1994 and 1997-1998. It is unusual for El Niņos
to occur in such rapid succession, as was the case during
1990-1994.
Notice
the very cool water (blue), in the Eastern Pacific, in
1988-1989, and the somewhat less cool water in 1995. These are
La Niņa events, which occur after some (but not all) El Niņos.
Typically, El Niņo occurs more frequently than La Niņa. A list
of
El Niņo and La Niņa years is provided by the National Center
for Environmental Prediction (NCEP).
El Niņo
and La Niņa events vary in strength. For example, the La Niņa in
1988 was stronger than the La Niņa in 1995, and the 1997-1998 El
Niņo is unusually strong.
La Niņa impact on the global
climate
In the U.S., winter temperatures are
warmer than normal in the Southeast, and cooler than normal in
the Northwest.
Global
climate
La Niņa impacts tend to be opposite those of
El Niņo impacts. In the tropics, ocean temperature
variations in
La Niņa tend to be opposite those of
El Niņo.
At higher
latitudes, El Niņo and La Niņa are among a number of factors
that influence climate. However, the impacts of El Niņo and La
Niņa at these latitudes are most clearly seen in wintertime. In
the continental US, during El Niņo years, temperatures in the
winter are warmer than normal in the North Central States, and
cooler than normal in the Southeast and the Southwest. During a
La Niņa year, winter temperatures are warmer than normal in the
Southeast and cooler than normal in the Northwest. See
U.S. La Niņa impacts from the National Weather
Service. Also see this graphically in
plots of temperature and rainfall anomalies in El Niņo and
La Niņa years from Florida State University. An anomaly is the
value observed during El Niņo or La Niņa subtracted from the
value in a normal year.
La Niņa and El Niņo
animations
Where are animations of La Niņa and El
Niņo events?
If you
have an MPEG animation viewer, and sufficient memory, you can
view an
animation which shows the changes in monthly sea surface
temperature in the tropical Pacific Ocean. A
Java
animation is also available. Notice the weak La Niņa peaking
in December 1995, and the strong El Niņo building in 1997. The
animation is about 1 Megabyte in size. As you view this
animation, you will see a weak La Niņa peaking in December 1995.
The bottom panel in the animation, labeled anomalies, shows how
much the sea surface temperature for each month is different
from the long term average for that month. The green color in
the anomalies plot indicates that the temperature of the water
is slightly cooler than is normal for that month. A strong El
Niņo is shown by the warm water spreading from the western
Pacific to the eastern Pacific during 1997. The red color in the
anomalies plot indicates that the temperature of the water is
much warmer than is normal for that month.
The origin of the names, La
Niņa and El Niņo
La Niņa is sometimes referred to as El
Viejo
El
Niņo was originally recognized by fisherman off the coast of
South America as the appearance of unusually warm water in the
Pacific ocean, occurring near the beginning of the year. El Niņo
means The Little Boy or Christ child in Spanish. This name was
used for the tendency of the phenomenon to arrive around
Christmas. La Niņa means The Little Girl. La Niņa is
sometimes called El Viejo, anti-El Niņo, or simply "a cold
event" or "a cold episode". There has been a confusing range of
uses for the terms El Niņo, La Niņa and ENSO by both the
scientific community and the general public, which is clarified
in this web page on
definitions of the terms ENSO, Southern Oscillation Index,
El Niņo and La Niņa. Also interesting is the Web page
Where did the name El Niņo come from?
More information on La Niņa and El Niņo
Selected references and publications
-
Philander, S.G.H., 1990: El Niņo, La Niņa and the Southern
Oscillation. Academic Press, San Diego, CA, 289 pp.
-
Hayes, S.P., L.J. Mangum, J. Picaut, A. Sumi, and K.
Takeuchi, 1991:
TOGA-TAO: A moored array for real-time measurements in the
tropical Pacific Ocean. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 72,
339-347. (abstract available)
-
McPhaden, M.J., 1993:
TOGA-TAO and the 1991-93 El Niņo-Southern Oscillation Event.
Oceanography, 6, 36-44. (entire paper available)
- Lee,
Martin E., and Chelton, Dudley,
Oceanic Kelvin/Rossby Wave Influence on North American West
Coast Precipitation, NOAA Technical Memorandum (NWS
WR-253)
- El
Niņo references:
TAO refereed journal articles and other
TAO papers.
- NOAA
Reports to the Nation -
El Niņo and Climate Prediction
Credits and Acknowledgements |
TAO Diagrams
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/elnino/la-nina-story.html
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