There is only one possible response to the latest news about climate change -
panic. It's happening; it's here. Over the past few years, we in Britain have
been living through a drastic change in climate. The rainfall total for the year
2000 was the highest since records began in 1776. In the summer of 2003, our
recorded temperatures broke through the 100F level for the first time- and 2,000
people died as a result. The canary in the environmental mineshaft just stopped
singing. Don't take my word for it; listen to a tree-hugging environmentalist pressure
group called the Pentagon. The US security agency issued a report earlier this
year admitting that imminent and catastrophic climate change is now "a
plausible scenario" and a greater threat to US national security than
terrorism. They forecast wars to secure dwindling food, water and energy
supplies, and tens of millions of environmental refugees. The Pentagon's predictions - ignored by the Bush administration - are coming
true faster than anybody could have expected. The genocide unfolding in Darfur
is in fact the first global warming war. The tribes of western Sudan have been
awkwardly sharing the region's resources for the past 40 years. But - as the
International Crisis Group has documented - massive ecological damage to Sudan
has caused those resources to shrivel over the past few years. With less and
less to go around, the Arab tribe has turned murderously on black Darfurians.
They are raping and hacking them off the land because the region's resources are
no longer enough for everyone. Tony Blair's speech yesterday was an honest acknowledgement of this
encroaching dystopia. He admitted he was "scared" when his top
scientists explained the situation to him. But were his practical proposals
enough? He's right that Kyoto - which merely pledges to restore greenhouse gas
emissions to 1990 levels - can only be a first step. He advocated a "green
industrial revolution" as a way both to meet our Kyoto commitments and then
realise a second phase of environmentalism. This would require us to develop
renewable energies - such as wave and tidal power or hydrogen fuel cells - and
phase out our current dirty energy sources. Blair's commitment to this is more than just rhetorical blather: the
Government has invested such large sums in wind power that the market analysts
Ernst & Young describe Britain as "the number one market for wind power
suppliers in the world". (You can find out how to make your own transition
to wind power sources at home at http:// www.ukgreenpower.co.uk). Yet this one positive aspect to Blair's environmental record is seriously
undermined by many of his other actions. Wind power has a low political cost -
few people oppose it - but when it comes to taking environmental decisions that
would require him to face down serious opposition, Blair's record is lousy. British drivers are increasingly turning to SUVs - monstrous gas- guzzlers
that none of us, save a tiny number of farmers, actually need. The French are
introducing whacking great taxes to drive these big-league pollutants off the
road, but Blair has refused to do the same here. On air travel, he's even worse. A single three-hour air flight releases more
polluting gasses than the average motorist racks up in a year. Yet Blair has
authorised a fifth terminal for Heathrow airport against the opposition of
environmentalists. He could have explained to the British people that - at a
time of global crisis - we have to make sacrifices. Yes, it's inconvenient to
fly less - but it's considerably more inconvenient to face catastrophic floods
and (according to the Pentagon) the possibility of Britain's climate becoming
"Siberian". Blair didn't; he chose the propane- scented path that
pleased the airlines instead. So Britain's current policy is to develop wind power for a fraction of our
future energy needs, while piling on the pollutants elsewhere. Is this really a
proportionate response to the biggest threat to human security today? Is this
the way a society that really understood what we are facing would behave? The ideal solution is a drastic reduction in carbon emissions immediately
across the world, and a rapid transfer to renewable energy - far faster than the
one envisaged by Blair. This is not going to happen; we cannot expect the
poorest countries in the world to resist the prosperity that accompanies
industrialisation, or to postpone economic development until we have cleaner
technologies. Nor can we wait for the Americans to wake up to climate change and
drive less; by that time, it may be too late. So it is time to consider other drastic solutions. The idea of developing
carbon sinks to drain the gas from the atmosphere is popular among
environmentalists. One radical type of carbon sink has been discussed by
environmental scientists for more than a decade now, but it has yet to break
through into the wider public debate. In the early 1990s, the world's leading
oceanographer - a man called Dr John Martin - made a suggestion that has become
known as "the iron hypothesis". Dr Martin discovered that adding iron to the surface of an ocean creates tiny
marine plants called phytoplankton. These plants absorb carbon faster than any
forest. Once Martin had discovered this, he publicly proposed that seeding the
world's oceans with iron could provide a solution to climate change. Sounds mad?
Extensive tests were carried out off the coast of Miami in 1991 and off the
Galapagos Islands in 1993, and they found that the iron hypothesis worked.
Phytoplankton are the most efficient carbon-eaters we know of. Many
distinguished scientists now take the idea seriously. Dr Martin knew that his proposal was imperfect. "I agree that the idea
would be to have the average American get out of his car; have the Chinese not
develop his coal resources; have the Brazilians not cut down the
rainforest," he said. "But we don't live in that world yet." And,
he might have added, he wants us to survive until we get there. If we cannot
prevent carbon emissions right now, we urgently need to do something to reduce
the amount of carbon in the atmosphere. This idea might sound like science
fiction today, but so did global warming itself just a few decades ago. Giving in to despair is not a luxury we can afford; last year, the Greenland
ice shelf thawed so quickly that the meltwater running off it was equivalent in
volume to the River Nile. If we don't deal with climate change fast, climate
change will come to deal with us.
Visit http://www.powermarketers.com/index.shtml for excellent coverage on your energy news front.